Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 6.755499 7.456368 8.234615 9.169867 10.272751 11.544015 13.138138
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 5.608402 6.516973 7.609800 9.047466 10.930965 13.379090 16.919429
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 4.897704 5.872961 7.106158 8.827736 11.253810 14.699693 20.285234
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 4.457398 5.476096 6.815683 8.777939 11.718609 16.237388 24.400248
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.124361 5.167089 6.582939 8.742539 12.156961 17.793424 29.105073
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 3.928655 5.015280 6.537417 8.954634 12.992800 20.192659 36.501384
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.626711 4.683879 6.193801 8.653925 12.914482 20.918781 40.707656
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.367676 4.391516 5.877810 8.352778 12.774883 21.479402 44.840031
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.171782 4.175350 5.655756 8.175153 12.821825 22.425833 50.637949
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 3.028828 4.026369 5.522655 8.128269 13.101012 23.950695 59.394304
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 3.014547 4.067525 5.687963 8.612945 14.509671 28.594695 84.465432
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.941021 4.011808 5.691126 8.805407 15.355848 32.195997 111.835731
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.792772 3.839259 5.502863 8.649171 15.478745 34.060551 136.079641
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.662102 3.688376 5.342426 8.534331 15.694887 36.409685 172.268750
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.529383 3.525917 5.149407 8.332689 15.665794 37.990186 210.415704
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.433879 3.417644 5.041215 8.286986 16.013447 41.122483 286.465813
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.348597 3.320848 4.945382 8.254493 16.390374 44.656449 409.912252
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.303235 3.286880 4.957858 8.449085 17.425724 51.791914 790.574206
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 2.195507 3.142971 4.761589 8.173133 17.083693 52.425461 1008.509785
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 2.095078 3.007079 4.572509 7.896384 16.694683 52.678401 1273.921880
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 2.016596 2.904985 4.439958 7.732959 16.615355 54.586351 1953.867319
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.958894 2.835724 4.364260 7.689800 16.896045 58.807068 4497.143580
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.964982 2.875906 4.495998 8.135497 18.842611 75.870167 NaN